Wednesday, June 27, 2012

SCOTUS and ObamaCare



The Supreme Court is expected to announce the fate of “ObamaCare” tomorrow.   
The White House has said it expects the high court to uphold the law.

There are basically three different ways this thing can go.  SCOTUS can uphold the entire law “as-is” which will make Obama look like he actually knows what he’s doing; but it can also set up protest and challenges to his administration he won’t want to deal with in November.  This would have major consequences as it pertains to Congressional rights addressing limits to the Commerce Clause in the future.

Or, option two; the court could strike the Single Payer Mandate. This could affect the refusal to insure “preexisting conditions” and other such regulations offered in the act. Any way this goes, there is the jeopardy of insurance payees bailing out, accepting lesser fines and avoiding multi-billions in health care costs for employers.  But it powerfully impacts government’s monetary input into the system.

Then there’s option three; the court could strike the entire law and by doing so send the entire matter back to Congress for the development of new law.

If Vegas was taking bets on the outcome, (and I don’t know that they’re not) the favorite would probably be option two with option one being the least likely.  I guess we will find out tomorrow.

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